3 Must Have Late Round Players

The recipe for dominating your fantasy football draft is simple. Draft your stud players to carry your group early within the first handful of rounds and then focus on acquiring depth in the later rounds of your draft to help balance out your lineup between guys who are your weekly starters, guys who can fill in on any given week, and late round dart throws that can potentially catapult your team to the next level. I will be listing my top 3 late round dart throws that will potentially help elevate your team should you draft them.

(Thedraftnetwork.com image)

Cover Photo courtesy of (youtube.com/Respectthepoint)

Denzel Mims

WR New York Jets

ADP WR 69 (nice) 202 overall

Denzel Mims is a prime candidate to instantly produce this year for the New York Jets. Mims has a lot to offer as a potential deep threat and red zone target with his freakish ability to bring down highly contested balls and should be the teams go to deep threat player as Jameson Crowder isn’t really a deep threat and more of a threat with the intermediate routes while Perriman will be on the outside opposite of Mims. The Jets invested a second round pick on him in hopes that he can form chemistry with Darnold and help the offense that lacks explosiveness.  I also expect Sam Darnold to take a step forward this year after having Mono last year and missing 3 games and having a year of the Adam Gase offense under his belt. This should boost the passing game thus helping the case for Mims. Furthermore The Jets subtracted a total of 154 targets between Robby Anderson and Demaryius Thomas in free agency and only added Breshad Perriman through free agency on a one year deal and Darnold is going to have to throw to somebody besides Crowder and dumping it off to Le’veon Bell. These targets may skew more to Perriman early, but I expect Mims to establish himself as the season goes on. To add because Mims is a deep threat he doesn’t need a ridiculous amount of targets to be fantasy relevant. The only thing stopping Mims from being drafted higher that the 16th round is Breshad Perriman who is going in the 10th round for the same fact of the vacated targets and opportunity in New York. I do not see Perriman being as good as people may expect and don’t think he is talented enough to be a clear wide receiver 1 or 2 on a team. This is his 5th year in the league and hasn’t really done anything in his previous 4 years that should warrant a breakthrough. At some point you are what you are in the NFL and Perriman is just a guy. Don’t be surprised if Mims is similar to last years version of DK Metcalf in terms of production because the sky is the limit with potential for this guy and he is basically free in drafts.

(Playerprofiler.com image)

Blake Jarwin

TE Dallas Cowboys

ADP TE 21 170 Overall

If you’ve recently played fantasy football you probably know that finding a very good tight end to help you every week is very scarce outside of George Kittle and Travis Kelce, along with a tier underneath of Zach Ertz, Darren Waller, and Mark Andrews. In order to draft one of these 5, you are going to need to spend a 5th round pick at the very minimum. If you strike out on those guys you’re looking at the Hayden Hursts and Austin Hoopers of the world, which isn’t bad but you should pair up one of these guys with a high upside guy like Jarwin later on. However, I feel very strong on Jarwin and think he can make his mark similar to how Andrews and Waller did this past year. According to Fantasypros.com the 2 most owned tight ends on playoff teams were Waller at 63% and Andrews at 59%. You heard that correctly not Kittle or Kelce. So save yourself from spending that second round pick on tight end and really deep dive on finding the next guy and Jarwin will be that guy after the departure of Jason Witten. Now you must be thinking “what does Witten have anything to do with this he wasn’t any good last year”. While you may not totally be wrong, Witten did see 83 targets, which are now gone to Oakland. This leaves Jarwin not only the starting job, but the targets associated with being a full time payer. Jarwin had 41 targets while Witten had 83. Combining for a total of 124 targets which would’ve ranked third in the league last year behind Kelce (136) and Ertz (135). Why can’t Jarwin put up these many targets? If a Jason Witten fresh out of retirement playing 70% of the snaps can command 83 targets and finish last year as the 11th best TE, then Jarwin playing nearly 100% of the snaps and being miles ahead of Witten in terms of talent at this stage should be primed for a top 7 finish and may even peep into the top 5. To add, Jarwin has no notable competition at all. His backup Dalton Schultz has 13 career catches in 2 years and is mostly a blocking tight end. He is no threat whatsoever to Jarwin, and the cowboys even believe so by paying him like a starting tight end in the league with a recent 4 year 22-million-dollar deal. Ill be taking Jarwin every time at his 14th round value and you should too if you want to smell the playoffs.

(Espn.com image)

Boston Scott

Rb Philadelphia Eagles

ADP Rb 49 133 Overall

I can honestly say that life has 3 guarantees. Death, Taxes, and Doug Pederson using a running back by committee approach. Let’s face it, its hard to find rbs this late in a draft that you can honestly feel optimistic about, but I genuinely think Scott has a chance to return value. I fully expect Miles Sanders to be the focal point of this backfield and wouldn’t be surprised if he had a top 5 finish, but Boston Scott can produce even with Sanders. Last year Scott took over the secondary role after Jordan Howard basically went on IR halfway through the season and Darren Sproles for lack of a better term “died” last season. Scott in the last 4 games of the season posted 24.8,13.5,7.9, and 35.8 PPR points respectively according to Sleeper.com. Now the week 17 explosion was when Sanders only played 30% of the snaps due to an injury so we should take that figure with a grain of salt. The other 3 games however Scott averaged 13 opportunities (attempts + targets) per game while playing 37% of the snaps which is normal for a change of pace running back which he will be in 2020 behind sanders. Furthermore, if Sanders does get hurt like he did in week 17 you could make the case that Scott would be a top 10 play at the position for period he is out. You cant say the same about some of the other running backs going around his ADP such as Duke Johnson and Nyheim Hines. I see Scott as a bootleg version of Tarik Cohen and James White who are going multiple rounds ahead of him even though all 3 have the same role in their respective offenses. The possible opportunity along with the expected stand-alone value make Scott the best value Running back past the 10th round.

Undervalued Fantasy Football Players

Before reading this article, I would like you to close your eyes and take a nice deep breath of air. You probably just smelled the greatest scent of the modern era. The smell of the beginning of fantasy football season. If you know me personally at all you may know just how invested I am with fantasy football and all the greatness that comes associated with it. That being said, I am thrilled to become Villen medias first fantasy football analyst/writer. Join me on this upcoming 6 months of a roller coaster of emotions as I’ll be writing about various topics from start/sits on a weekly regular season schedule to draft tips to help you get an edge to the guys in your league that you want to beat so dearly. My first article will be about 3 players who I currently thinking are undervalued in drafts.

So, what defines an undervalued player? The players who are included in my list are guys who I have a very strong feeling will currently outperform ADP (Average Draft Position). These are guys who will have upside but not break the bank when it comes to where they are currently going in drafts. So that begs the question, what do you look for when it comes to finding undervalued players? This is broken into two categories, Talent and Volume. Finding players who are both Talented AND have a clear path to Opportunities to succeed is a winning combination in Fantasy Football and the players I have highlighted fit the mold of what you should be targeting in drafts. So let’s begin.

Tyler Lockett

Current ADP: WR 23, 56th overall

Credit: ESPN.com

Tyler Lockett is an extremely underrated Wide Receiver in the league. Currently going in the middle of the 5th round of 12 man drafts at the 5.8 spot, Lockett is an extremely good WR2 who possesses low end WR1 upside unlike other wide receivers drafted around his spot. His stat line last year may not seem like anything special, but we need context.

From weeks 1-9 Tyler Lockett had the third most Points of all Wrs in PPR only trailing Michael Thomas and Mike Evans. Lockett was averaging 19 Points per game on 8 targets a game. Suddenly he was dealt with Injuries and was injured week 10 with a shin injury that resulted in him being hospitalized. This hampered his production as he dropped off significantly from his breakout first half of the season. He did not miss any games, but he was limited in practice for weeks all while dealing with the Flu as well. When healthy Tyler Lockett was a clear WR1 and would have finished as with 304 Fantasy points only trailing Michael Thomas. In Fact, even while being injured, Lockett still finished as the highest rated wide receiver of Players who saw more than 90 targets on the year.

Credit: Sharpfootballstats.com

Robert Woods

 ADP WR 17 ,45th overall

Credit: ESPN.com

Despite only having 2 receiving touchdowns all of last year Robert Woods finished as the WR 14 last year and was only 19 points away from finishing as a top 10 Fantasy wide receiver in spite of early season struggles and missing a game due to personal issues. So, what’s changed? Brandin Cooks has left town which should be a small boost to Woods value, but the biggest bump to Robert Woods stock is the fact that the Rams will probably run more 12 personnel this year, where Woods thrived in last season from weeks 11-17.

Words can’t describe how ridiculous of a stretch Woods went on during weeks 11-17. Which bears the question, how sustainable is this? Robert Woods won’t be putting up crazy numbers like he did to end the season for the entirety of the 2020 season, lets be real. However, he wont be as inconsistent as he was in 2019 and will have positive regression in the touchdown department. Being currently priced as WR17, where he finished last year is you buying Woods at his floor. Woods is a no brainer at his spot and may very well finish inside the top 10.

Jonathan Taylor

Current ADP RB21, 48th overall

Credit: 247sports.com

What do we know about Jonathan Taylor so far? We know he is a very talented running back as he proved at Wisconsin. Hence why he was the second running back taken off the board in the NFL Draft by the Colts. Taylor walks into an offense that has one of the best run blocking offensive lines in the league. The one question we have is at what point will he become the lead alpha overtaking Marlon Mack for early down rushing duties? This is a matter of if not when, because Taylor will at some point overtake Mack and receive the bulk of opportunities. I don’t think this will take long at all because Marlon Mack isn’t a good running back. He has been mostly underwhelming in the league so far and seems like a “just a guy running back”. His stats are good not from the talent he possesses, but from the pure volume he gets behind this offensive line. I think about Marlon Mack and get reminded of how the cowboys went to that gap year at running back between Demarco Murray and Ezekiel Elliott was Darren McFadden. McFadden at that point of his career wasn’t anything to write home about ,but had a good year due to the offensive line of Dallas.

 Marlon Mack is going to be replaced and Jonathan Taylor may end up with over 250-300 carries behind that offensive line, I expect him to produce strong RB 2 numbers and outperform his ADP. Furthermore, to add to his skillset he has worked on being a viable receiving back in his junior season at Wisconsin he had 26 receptions for 252 yards while the previous 2 years he combined for 16 total receptions. He may not be the third down RB or hurry up offense RB due to Nyheim Hines, but he doesn’t need to be that to return value. Partly because Phillip Rivers is the QB. Phillip Rivers isn’t the player he used to be, but he is the #1 Qb in terms of targets to rbs. Rivers targeted the RB position 180 times last year between Ekeler and Gordon. Are Taylor and Hines going to command this? Probably not. Due to not being mobile at all, at the sense of pressure in the pocket Rivers will immediately find his safety blanket which is most likely the RB position unlike Jacoby Brissett last year. We should still be modest with how much receiving work Taylor will get, but we have reasons to be optimistic of a breakout.